Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 4.186423 4.502685 4.841882 5.234565 5.678976 6.169102 6.754390
2025-06-01 3.612226 4.039567 4.527394 5.132480 5.872990 6.763656 7.938380
2025-06-08 3.308121 3.798528 4.383011 5.144916 6.133974 7.408375 9.236484
2025-06-15 3.117566 3.655399 4.319006 5.220429 6.451417 8.138597 10.759287
2025-06-22 2.862990 3.403020 4.084742 5.036884 6.383689 8.313383 11.495756
2025-06-29 2.674724 3.216900 3.915081 4.914530 6.373990 8.553275 12.361573
2025-07-06 2.522909 3.065472 3.776404 4.816609 6.380007 8.805786 13.288197
2025-07-13 2.417950 2.967866 3.701056 4.797873 6.496172 9.240542 14.632841
2025-07-20 2.358014 2.925856 3.697251 4.879566 6.772142 9.976529 16.753948
2025-07-27 2.314297 2.902291 3.715967 4.993822 7.110265 10.874816 19.515880
2025-08-03 2.245211 2.838759 3.671956 5.005734 7.275934 11.481400 21.842589
2025-08-10 2.164652 2.754532 3.591992 4.953229 7.322056 11.860825 23.750415
2025-08-17 2.061687 2.637099 3.461513 4.818341 7.223089 11.963518 25.064872
2025-08-24 1.977390 2.543604 3.363015 4.730338 7.203895 12.240906 27.075206
2025-08-31 1.924461 2.493072 3.326384 4.741466 7.369961 12.956747 30.922848
2025-09-07 1.888726 2.465761 3.323221 4.807974 7.649706 13.999238 36.775123
2025-09-14 1.803685 2.361289 3.194028 4.646240 7.456544 13.855185 37.820504
2025-09-21 1.736153 2.280643 3.098816 4.538204 7.362286 13.947050 40.038538
2025-09-28 1.677705 2.211522 3.018709 4.451612 7.303295 14.120682 42.845937
2025-10-05 1.637767 2.169004 2.979139 4.435031 7.389854 14.705942 48.452175
2025-10-12 1.618468 2.157150 2.988237 4.507298 7.676242 15.928673 59.719401
2025-10-19 1.605631 2.154567 3.012038 4.608238 8.040208 17.505229 77.399026
2025-10-26 1.576161 2.124823 2.989189 4.618753 8.197824 18.488730 93.513479